Publications

Journal articles (peer-reviewed)

in press

Eckes, T., Salditt, M., & Nestler, S. (in press). Living up to expectations? A simulation study evaluating methods used to detect sudden gains and sudden losses. Psychological Assessment.

Humberg, S., Kuper, N., Rentzsch, K., Gerlach, T. M., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (in press). Investigating the effects of congruence between within-person associations: A comparison of two extensions of response surface analysis. Psychological Methods.

Nestler, S., Robitzsch, A., & Luedtke, O. (in press). Fitting single- and multiple-indicator STARTS models as Dynamic Structural Equation Models. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal.

Ulitzsch, E., Nestler, S., Lüdtke, O. & Nagy, G. (in press). A screen-time-based mixture model for identifying and monitoring careless and insufficient effort responding in ecological momentary assessment data. Psychological Methods.

2024

Bleckmann, E., Nestler, S. & Wagner, J. (2024). Routes to momentary self-esteem in adolescence: Links with interpersonal perceptions of liking and personality metaperceptions within social interactions. Journal of Personality, 92, 1229-1246.

Forthmann, B., & Nestler, S. (2024). Latent variable modeling of scientific impact: Estimation of the Q model parameters with structural equation models. Quantitative Science Studies, 5, 668-680.

Blöchl, M., Schaare, H. L., Kumral, D., Gaebler, M., Nestler, S. & Villringer, A. (2024). Vascular risk factors, white matter microstructure, and depressive symptoms: A mediation analyses using the UK Biobank. Psychological Medicine, 54, 125-135.

Eckes, T. & Nestler, S. (2024). Do I like me now? An analysis of everyday sudden gains and sudden losses in self-esteem and nervousness. Clinical Psychological Science, 12, 22-36.

Humberg, S., Grund, S., & Nestler, S. (2024). Estimating nonlinear effects of random slopes: A comparison of multilevel structural equation modeling with a 2-step, a single-indicator, and a plausible values approach. Behavior Research Methods, 56, 7912-7938.

Kunzmann, U., Nestler, S., Lücke, A., Katzorreck, M., Hoppmann, C. A., Wahl, H.-W., Schilling, O., & Gerstorf, D. (2024). Three facets of emotion regulation in old and very old age: Strategy use, effectiveness, and variability. Emotion, 24, 316-328.

Mund, M., Park, Y., & Nestler, S. (2024). Disentangling between- and within-person variation in relationship science. Journal of Marriage and Family, 86, 1495-1518.

Nestler, S. (2024). A mixed-effects model in which the parameters of the autocorrelated error structure can differ between individuals. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 59, 98-109.

Nestler, S., & Blozis, S. A. (2024). A latent variable mixed-effects location scale model that also considers between-person differences in the autocorrelation. Statistics in Medicine, 43, 89-101.

Nestler, S., & Humberg, S. (2024). Univariate autoregressive structural equation models as mixed-effects models. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 31, 357-366.

Nestler, S., & Salditt, M. (2024). Comparing type 1 and type 2 error rates of different tests for heterogeneous treatment effects. Behavior Research Methods, 56, 6582–6597.

Salditt, M., Eckes, T., & Nestler, S. (2024). A tutorial introduction to heterogeneous treatment effect estimation with meta-learners. Administration and Policy in Mental Health and Mental Health Services Research, 51, 650-673.

Scharbert, J., Dein, L. M., Kroencke, L., Nestler, S., Back, M. D., & Geukes, K. (2024). Narcissus’ affective well-being: Associations between grandiose narcissism and state affect level and variability. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 127, 153–175.

2023

Meuer, M., Nestler, S., & Oeberst, A. (2023). What determines hindsight bias in written work? One field and three experimental studies in the context of Wikipedia. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 29,239-258.

Mota, S., Mielke, I., Kroencke, L., Geukes, K., Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2023). Daily dynamics of grandiose narcissism: Distribution, stability, and trait relations of admiration and rivalry states and state contingencies. European Journal of Personality, 37, 207-222.

Nestler, S., & Erdfelder, E. (2023). Random effects multinomial processing tree models: A maximum likelihood approach. Psychometrika, 88, 809-829.

Romankiewicz, L., Schaare, H. L., Nestler, S., Villringer, A., & Blöchl, M. (in press). Mediation of the association between vascular risk factors and depressive symptoms by C-Reactive Protein. Biological Psychiatry: Global Open Science, 3, 642-650.

Salditt, M., Humberg, S., & Nestler, S. (2023). Gradient tree boosting for hierarchical data. Multivariate Behavioral Research, 58, 911-937.

Salditt, M., & Nestler, S. (2023). Parametric and nonparametric propensity score estimation in multilevel observational studies. Statistics in Medicine, 42, 4147-4176.

Schauf, T., Dufner, M., Nestler, S., & Rau, R. (2023). Do agency and communion explain the relationship between perceiver and target effects in interpersonal perception? A meta-analysis on generalized reciprocity. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin, 49, 1479-1494.

Schyns, B., Gauglitz, I. K., Veestraeten, M., Nestler , S., & Bonnefous, A.-M. (2023). When does charm turn sour in early career working relationships? The relationship between narcissism and Leader-Member and Member-Member Exchange. Cadernos EBAPE.BR, 21, e2023-0058.

Selected earlier publications (before 2023; see CV for a list of all publications)

Blöchl, M., & Nestler, S. (2022). Long-term changes in depressive symptoms before and after stroke. Neurology, 99, e720-e729.

Blöchl, M., Nestler, S., & Weiss, D. (2021). A limit of the subjective age bias: Feeling younger to a certain degree, but no more, is beneficial for life satisfaction. Psychology and Aging, 36, 360-372.

Geukes, K., Nestler, S., Hutteman, R., Dufner, M., Küfner, A. C. P., Egloff, B., Denissen, J. J. A., & Back, M. D. (2017). Puffed up but shaky selves: State self-esteem level and variability in narcissists. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 112, 769-786.

Humberg, S., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Küfner, A. C. P., van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2019). Is accurate, positive, or inflated self-perception most advantageous for psychological adjustment? A competitive test of key hypotheses. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 116, 835-859.

Humberg, S. C., Dufner M., Schönbrodt, F., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., Van Zalk, M., Denissen, J. J. A., Nestler, S., & Back M. D. (2018). Enhanced versus simply positive: A new condition-based regression analysis to disentangle effects of self-enhancement from effects of positivity of self-view. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 114, 303-322.

Humberg, S., Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2019). Response Surface Analysis in personality and social psychology: Checklist and clarifications for the case of congruence hypotheses. Social Psychological and Personality Science, 10, 409-419.

Humberg, S., Schönbrodt, F. D., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2022). Cubic response surface analysis: Investigating asymmetric and level-dependent congruence effects with third-order polynomial models. Psychological Methods, 27, 622-649.

Meuer, M., von der Beck, I., Nestler, S., & Oeberst, A. (2021). What drives increases in hindsight impressions after the reception of biased media content? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 27, 461–472.

Mund, M., & Nestler, S. (2019). Beyond the cross-lagged panel model: Next-generation statistical tools for analyzing interdependencies across the life course. Advances in Life Course Research, 41, 100249.

Nestler, S. (2013). A Monte Carlo study comparing PIV, ULS, and DWLS in the estimation of dichotomous confirmatory factor analysis. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 66, 127-143.

Nestler, S. (2014). How the 2SLS/IV Estimator can handle equality constraints in structural equation models: A system-of-equations approach. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 67, 353-369.

Nestler, S. (2016). Restricted maximum likelihood estimation for parameters of the social relations model. Psychometrika, 81, 1098-1117.

Nestler, S. (2018). Likelihood estimation of the multivariate social relations model. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 43, 387-406.

Nestler, S. (2020). Modeling interindividual differences in latent within-person variation: The confirmatory factor level variability model. British Journal of Mathematical and Statistical Psychology, 73, 452-473.

Nestler, S. (2021). Modeling intraindividual variability in growth with measurement burst designs. Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 28, 28-39.

Nestler, S. (2022). An extension of the mixed-effects growth model that considers between-person differences in the within-subject variance and the autocorrelation. Statistics in Medicine, 41, 471-482.

Nestler, S., & Back, M. D. (2017). Using cross-classified structural equations models to examine the accuracy of personality judgments. Psychometrika, 82, 475–497.

Nestler, S., Blank, H., & v. Collani, G. (2008). Hindsight bias and causal attribution: A causal model theory of creeping determinism. Social Psychology, 39, 182-188.

Nestler, S., Geukes, K., Hutteman, R., & Back, M. D. (2017). Tackling longitudinal round-robin data: The social relations growth model. Psychometrika, 82, 1162-1181.

Nestler, S., Grimm, K. J., & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2015). The social consequences and mechanisms of personality: How to analyse longitudinal data from individual, dyadic, round-robin, and network designs. European Journal of Personality, 29, 272-295.

Nestler, S. & Humberg, S. (2022). A Lasso and a regression tree mixed-effect model with random effects for the level, the residual variance, and the autocorrelation. Psychometrika, 87, 506-532.

Nestler, S., Humberg, S., & Schönbrodt, F. D. (2019). Response surface analysis with multilevel data: Illustration for the case of congruence hypotheses. Psychological Methods, 24, 291-308.

Nestler, S., Luedtke, O., & Robitzsch, A. (2020). Maximum likelihood estimation of a social relations structural equation model. Psychometrika, 85, 870-889.

Nestler, S., Luedtke, O., & Robitzsch, A. (2022). Analyzing longitudinal social relations model data using the social relations structural equation model. Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, 47, 231-260.

Rau, R., Carlson, E. N., Back, M. D., Barranti, M., Gebauer, J. E., Human, L. J., Leising, D., & Nestler, S. (2021). What is the structure of perceiver effects? On the importance of global positivity and trait-specificity across personality domains and judgment contexts. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 120, 745-764.

Scharf, F., & Nestler, S. (2019). Should regularization replace simple structure rotation in Exploratory Factor Analysis? Structural Equation Modeling: A Multidisciplinary Journal, 26, 576-590.

Ulitzsch, E. & Nestler, S. (2022). Evaluating Stan's Variational Bayes algorithm for estimating multidimensional IRT models. Psych, 4, 73-88.

Book chapters (selection)

Back, M. D., & Nestler, S., (2016). Accuracy of Judging Personality. In J. A. Hall, M., Schmid Mast, & T. V., West (Eds.), The social psychology of perceiving others accurately (pp. 98-124). Cambridge University Press.

Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2016). Individual versus collaborative information processing: The case of biases in Wikipedia. In U. Cress, H. Jeong, & J. Moskaliuk (Eds.), Mass collaboration and Education (pp. 165-185). Cham, Switzerland: Springer International Publishing.

von der Beck, I., Oeberst, A., Cress, U., Back, M. D., & Nestler, S. (2015). Hätte die Geschichte auch anders verlaufen können? Der Rückschaufehler zu Ereignissen in Wikipedia. In T. Wozniak, U. Rohwedder & J., Nemitz (Hrsg.), Wikipedia und Geschichtswissenschaft (S. 155-174). Oldenbourg: DeGruyter.